Voter turnout for Saturday's primary was 42 percent, only
slightly higher than the past two primary elections despite
a record number of absentee voters and the heavy media attention
on the Democratic primary for Senate between U.S. Sen. Daniel
Akaka and U.S. Rep. Ed Case.
The strategy by both campaigns to target absentee voters, and
the general convenience of voting by mail or by walk-in at early
voting sites before election day, pushed absentee voting to
37 percent of the turnout. Two years ago, the absentee vote
was 32 percent; it was 25 percent in 2002.
Democrats and Republicans, meanwhile, were still looking at
the results of Saturday's primary and how any trends might shape
the governor's race or state House and Senate campaigns. Most
analysts predict Democrats will hold their super-majorities
in both chambers, but the election may affect House and Senate
leadership, particularly if Democrats suffer more than a few
losses.
Two House Democratic incumbents, Bev Harbin and Kam Tanaka,
lost on Saturday.
Tanaka, elected two years ago, was beaten by Angus McKelvey
in House District 10 in West Maui . McKelvey, the vice president
of a publishing and graphics firm, will face Republican doctor
Ben Azman in the general election.
The controversial Harbin , who was appointed last year by Gov.
Linda Lingle and was later asked to resign because of past legal
trouble, lost to attorney Karl Rhoads in House District 28 downtown.
Rhoads will face Republican computer consultant Collin Wong
in November.
In one race that could have leadership fallout, Sen. Shan Tsutsui,
D-4th (Kahului), beat former Sen. Jan Yagi Buen on Saturday
and won re-election because there is no Republican challenger
in November. Senate President Robert Bunda, D-22nd ( North Shore
, Wahiawa ), had endorsed Buen, who had promised to back Bunda
as president against dissident factions that include Tsutsui.
Several House and Senate races will be watched in November
because they are for seats left open due to retirement or people
leaving to run for higher office.
In Senate District 19 in Kapolei, where
Democratic Sen. Brian Kanno is retiring, Republican and former
Honolulu City Councilman Mike Gabbard is up against Democrat
George Yamamoto, a retired police captain. In Senate
District 24, where Republican Sen. Bob Hogue is leaving to run
for the U.S. House, Democrat and former state party executive
Jill Tokuda is facing off against Senate Republican researcher
Keoki Leong.
In the House, some of the interesting races include House District
15 on Kaua'i, where Democratic Rep. Ezra Kanoho chose not to
seek re-election. Kaua'i County Councilman James Tokioka, a
Democrat, is facing Republican architect Ron Agor. In House
District 25 in Makiki, which is being vacated by Democratic
Rep. Brian Schatz, Democratic attorney Della Belatti is facing
Republican state policy analyst Tracy Okubo.
The governor's race between Lingle and former Mililani state
Sen. Randall Iwase will also generate interest after months
when much of the political scene was consumed by Akaka and Case.
Lingle said yesterday that Democrats who attempt to link her
to President Bush are trying to obscure the successes of her
administration over the past four years.
Bush's approval rating in the Islands was 42 percent in September,
according to SurveyUSA, a New Jersey polling firm, and several
Democrats indicated at their unity breakfast yesterday morning
that they would tie the Republican governor to the unpopular
president in the coming weeks.
"Before it was Newt Gingrich, now it's George Bush. I
called it the 'long ago and far away' theory," Lingle told
reporters at a luncheon outside GOP headquarters. "They
want to talk about the Republican Party of 50 years ago, and
they want to talk about the Republican Party in Washington ,
D.C. , because if they allow people to focus today on the here
and now in Hawai'i , what they will see is that the Republicans
have brought the economy back.
"We have made huge progress in getting Native Hawaiians
on to the land. We've gotten tax relief for people. We've passed
a three-strikes law. It's safer for children in their neighborhoods
because now we have a sexual predator registry."
U.S. Sen. Daniel K. Inouye, who hosted the Democrats' breakfast
at the Pagoda Hotel, asked Democrats to recall their underdog
victory in 1954 when they took control of the Territorial Legislature
from Republicans despite poor odds. He told the crowd that an
Iwase victory was possible.
"It can be done," the senator said.
Reach Derrick DePledge at ddepledge@honoluluadvertiser.com
and Gordon Y.K. Pang at gpang@honoluluadvertiser.com
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